Friday, March 02, 2018

2018 OSCARS: My Predictions for the Top 8 Categories

Here is my prediction's post for the Top 8 categories in this year's Oscars, the 90th Annual Academy Awards. In blue are the people who I want to win, or who I would vote for (if I had an Oscar ballot) while in red are the people who I think will win. Last year I only predicted 3 of the Top  8 categories correctly (in both of the red and blue votes); Overall I did better, predicting 14 of 24 categories correctly.

Best Picture:
  • “Call Me by Your Name”
  • “Darkest Hour”
  • “Dunkirk”
  • Get Out”
  • “Lady Bird”
  • “Phantom Thread”
  • “The Post”
  • “The Shape of Water”
  • “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
(The ones in bold are the Best Picture nominees I have seen as of this writing.)

WILL WIN: The Shape of Water.

  • “Dunkirk,” Christopher Nolan
  • “Get Out,” Jordan Peele
  • “Lady Bird,” Greta Gerwig
  • “Phantom Thread,” Paul Thomas Anderson
  • “The Shape of Water,” Guillermo del Toro
WILL WIN: The Shape of Water, Guillermo del Toro.
SHOULD WIN: Dunkirk, Christopher Nolan.

Lead Actor:
  • Timothée Chalamet, “Call Me by Your Name”
  • Daniel Day-Lewis, “Phantom Thread”
  • Daniel Kaluuya, “Get Out”
  • Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour”
  • Denzel Washington, “Roman J. Israel, Esq.”
WILL WIN: Darkest Hour, Gary Oldman.
SHOULD WIN: Call Me By Your Name, Timothée Chalamet.

Lead Actress:
  • Sally Hawkins, “The Shape of Water”
  • Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
  • Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya”
  • Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”
  • Meryl Streep, “The Post”
WILL WIN: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, Frances McDormand.
SHOULD WIN: Ladybird, Saoirse Ronan.

Supporting Actor:
  • Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project”
  • Woody Harrelson, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
  • Richard Jenkins, “The Shape of Water”
  • Christopher Plummer, “All the Money in the World”
  • Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
WILL WIN: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, MissouriSam Rockwell.
SHOULD WIN: The Shape of Water, Richard Jenkins.

Supporting Actress:
  • Mary J. Blige, “Mudbound”
  • Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”
  • Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread”
  • Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”
  • Octavia Spencer, “The Shape of Water”
WILL WIN: I, Tonya, Allison Janney.
SHOULD WIN: Lady BirdLaurie Metcalfe.

Adapted Screenplay:
  • “Call Me by Your Name,” James Ivory
  • “The Disaster Artist,” Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber
  • “Logan,” Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green
  • “Molly’s Game,” Aaron Sorkin
  • “Mudbound,” Virgil Williams and Dee Rees
WILL WIN: Call Me By Your Name, James Ivory.
SHOULD WIN: Call Me By Your Name, James Ivory .

Original Screenplay:
  • “The Big Sick,” Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani
  • “Get Out,” Jordan Peele
  • “Lady Bird,” Greta Gerwig
  • “The Shape of Water,” Guillermo del Toro, Vanessa Taylor
  • “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Martin McDonagh
WILL WIN: Get Out, Jordan Peele.
SHOULD WIN: The Big Sick, Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani.

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