Thursday, June 30, 2005
Wednesday, June 29, 2005
In a startling reversal of public opinion, 57
percent of the state's registered voters would
not support Schwarzenegger's re-election next
year, up from 42 percent in a February poll.
Those who would vote to return him to
Sacramento tumbled from 56 percent to
Hmmmm! But who will replace him? After State Attorney General Bill Lockyer wimped out earlier this year, the two main Democratic challengers are State Controller Steve Westly and State Treasurer Phil Angelides. Angelides leads a hypothetical matchup with Arnold 46%-42% while Westly leads Arnold 44%-40%. I haven't made an endorsement in the 2006 California Gubernatirial race yet, but I agree with this post at MyDD about the importance of the 2006 Governors races nationwide. Democrats should be able to make pick-ups in California, New York, Ohio, Massachusetts, and possibly Texas, Georgia and Florida.
Tuesday, June 28, 2005
Mauresmo (3) vs Davenport (1). I think that this will go three sets. Mauresmo has been playing great grass-court tennis all tournament long but she hasn't faced one of the "big babes" with their awesome hitting power, and Davenport is the biggest of them all. Once Mauresmo loses the first set she will relax and play her game, however once the third set starts she'll tighten up. Davenport will make it to her second Grand Slam final of the year.
Sharapova (2) vs V. Williams (14). I'd like to believe that Venus can win this match, but I think she might have peaked in the quarterfinal against Mary Pierce. (She had only 14 unforced errors to 22 winners, and served at 84%!) Maybe she watched the super slow motion deconstruction of her serve on television and has finally taken some advice. It would be great if both players played to their full potential in the match. Sharapova, in 3 very close sets.
Sunday, June 26, 2005
My previous prediction of a Serena-Sharapova semifinal at this year's Wimbledon can no longer come true: Serena Williams lost 6-3, 7-6(4) on Saturday to a fellow American, 30-year old, 85th world-ranked Jill Craybas.
But this upset gives her sister Venus Williams an excellent chance to get a quarterfinal match with the resurgent Mary Pierce, who last month made it to the French Open final. If Venus gets past that match, she will have a semifinal encounter with the "Golden Girl" Maria Sharapova who just has to get past Nathalie Dechy and Nadia Petrova.
In the other half of the draw Lindsay Davenport and Kim Clijsters are duking it out in what should be the best match of the tournament for a quarterfinal opportunity against Svetlana Kuznetsova. I remain firm in my prediction that Clijsters will come through both of those matches, albeit in 3 sets. Clijsters will then meet Mauresmo (who theoretically should have no problem defeating either Dementieva or Myskina on grass) in the other semi-final.
If Clijsters does not make it through her half of the draw, I think Sharapova will most likely repeat as Wimbledon champion. Clijsters has a 3-0 record against her, and has beaten Sharapova already this year in a final (to win the NASDAQ-100 in Miami).
UPDATE 9pm 06/26/05 It should be noted that if Davenport beats Clijsters then she has a very good chance of making it to her second Grand Slam final of 2005, and she should have a mental edge against the defending champion, who she almost beat last year in the semis, and who she whipped 6-0, 6-0 at the Pacific Life tournament in March
Wednesday, June 22, 2005
Tuesday, June 21, 2005
Now, Ahnuld is rolling the dice and spending eighty milllion dollars of California taxpayers' money in order to call for a special election in November.
Today the most accurate poll in California politics shows that Arnold's political fortunes are starting to resemble Gray Davis. His approval/disapproval rating is now at 37/53 (down from 53/35 in February 2005) with a margin of error of 3.2%.
Approve DisapproveI never understood what Californians saw in Arnold as a governor and did not vote for him
Among Democrats 16 (34) 76 (54)
Among Republicans 66 (84) 23 (11)
Among Non-Partisans 35 (48) 54 (38)
in the recall. Looks like the rest of California is waking up....
This opens up the section of the draw with Venus (who won her first round match 6-2, 6-4) and Serena (who faces fellow Frican American Angela Haynes later today). I still believe that Serena will get through that section to face Sharapova in a close semi-final.
On the men's side 6'10" Ivo Karlovic lost after blasting 51 aces, so Federer will not be beating him in the final. I don't know why, I just don't think that Roddick will make it through his half of the draw (even though it is easier than Federer's).
Meanwhile, in Canada the Government is postponing its summer recess in order to get gay marriage enacted.
Sunday, June 19, 2005
The first section of the draw is sprinkled with numerous players vying for this semi-final slot. Lindsay Davenport (Current #1 and 1999 Champion), Kim Clijsters, Svetlana Kuznetsova (current US Open titleholder) and Elena Dementieva. I predict that Kuznetsova and Clijsters will battle it out for the semi-final spot against Amelie Mauresmo (who has a pretty dreamy draw in the second section) in the first semi-final.
The third section of the draw is the toughest, with Justine Henin-Hardenne (former #1 and the current hottest player on the women's tour), Serena Williams (2002 and 2003 Wimbledon Champion and current Australian Open titleholder), Venus Williams (2000 and 2001 Champion, set to meet Serena in the 4th Round). I predict that Serena will come through this section of the draw to meet defending Champion Maria Sharapova in the second women's semi-final.
PREDICTIONS: Ladies' Semi-finals
Clijsters/Kuznetsova versus Mauresmo (3).
Serena Williams (4) versus Maria Sharapova (2).
On the Men's side, Roger Federer (#1) will win his 3rd title over Ivo Karlovic on July 3rd.
Monday, June 13, 2005
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact: Jessica Smith or Brendan McCarthy,
Wednesday, Sept. 1, 2004 Fenton Communications
BEHIND TODAY'S FACADE OF DIVERSITY LIES
A NEARLY ALL-WHITE REPUBLICAN PARTY
One Percent of Republican Legislators in the States And Washington are African-American or Hispanic
Newspaper Ads Point to Retro Republican Reality
The uninformed viewer watching TV coverage of this week's Republican national convention in New York might come away thinking that the President's party is built upon a solid commitment to inclusion of racial minorities. Once again, as it does every four years, the Republican Party is trying to portray itself as a 'big tent,' with room for every American.
But a new book about America's political divisions notes that the 99 percent of all Republican legislators across the country and in Congress are white. The national Republican Party, whose base is in the South, the Plains and the Mountain states, looks to white men as its power base and source of leadership. Even when Republican states have significant minority populations, the elected Republican representatives rarely are drawn from those communities.
The Great Divide: Retro vs. Metro America, a new look at political divisions in America by educator-entrepreneur Dr. John Sperling, calls those states 'Retro America,' and notes: 'Its whiteness and maleness are mirrored in the Republican Party.'
Of 3,643 Republicans serving in the state legislatures, only 44 are minorities, or 1.2 percent. In the Congress, with 274 of the 535 elected senators and representatives Republican, only five are minorities - three Cuban Americans from Florida, a Mexican American from Texas and a Native American senator originally elected as a Democrat. [NOTE FROM JOHN: That means the GOP has elected ZERO blacks to Congress.]
'President Bush's home state leads the way. Texas, with a minority population of 47 percent, has 106 Republicans in the state legislature, but there are 0 blacks and 0 Hispanics among them,' Sperling writes. 'No major corporation doing business with the government could be so white without being subject to Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) action!'
An advertisement appearing in the New York Times and Washington Post this week describes this 'Retro Republican Reality.' For more information and to download chapters of the Sperling book, go to http://www.retrovsmetro.org/. Print editions of The Great Divide are on sale exclusively at amazon.com/greatdivide.
Howard Dean was right! michael in chicago over at mydd.com has also picked up on the lack of racial diversity among Republicans...
Saturday, June 11, 2005
Friday, June 10, 2005
On Wednesday, the Nevada Legislature sent a bill to moderate Republican Governor Kenny Guinn which would prohibit discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation, this time in public accomodations and access to services. The bill was introduced by openly gay Assemblymember David Parks. This bill does not include gender identity or expression, which is unfortunate.
If you live in Nevada please contact Governor Guinn and urge him to do the right thing and sign AB 5 into law!
Bush likes to call himself "43" and his dad "41" (interesting how Clinton was the 42nd president--Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy, anyone?).
Who knew that "43" was talking about his average approval rating for his second term? :-)
Thursday, June 09, 2005
There are a handful of gay professional athletes – David Kopay, Billy Bean,
Esera Tuaolo – who came out after their careers ended. There are a number of
talented gay collegiate athletes, some who play individual sports at the
Division I level (such as California gymnast Graham Ackerman), others from team
sports at the Division II and III levels.
But Andrew Goldstein, according to those who document these things, is the
most accomplished male, team-sport athlete in North America to be openly gay
during his playing career.
Wednesday, June 08, 2005
As Schwarzenegger positions himself for re-election in 2006 and considers his legacy, appointing a member of the California Supreme Court in his first term will be a major part of it. (State Supreme Court appointees do not come up that often. Gray Davis only got one, Carlos Moreno, in his 5 years serving as Governor.) African American voters will notice if the 'black seat' held by Janice Rogers Brown is filled by someone who does not enhance the diversity of the Court.
Tuesday, June 07, 2005
Monday, June 06, 2005
Nadal def. Puerta 6-7(3),6-3, 6-1, 7-5. This was a
surprisingly good match. Puerta is a good player but
Nadal is just an insanely good offensively defensive
player on clay. They both play left-handed though
Nadal does "everything else" with his right hand.
Puerta had 3 set points in the 4th set to even the match,
which would have been his 3rd consecutive 5-set match
in the tournament.
Henin-Hardenne def. Pierce 6-1, 6-1. After being
unable to miss in her demolition of World No. 1
Lindsay Davenport in the quarters, Mary Pierce
simply ran out of gas in front of her Gallic
compatriots and was never really able to impose
her game upon the impressive Belgian.
Nadal is now ranked #3 in the world, behind Federer(1) and Safin(2). Henin-Hardene is #7, behind Davenport, Sharapova, Mauresmo, Serena Williams, Kuznetsova and Dementieva.
Wimbledon starts in two weeks on June 20th!
UPDATE: The judge dismissed the case "with prejudice." Gregoire's margin of victory actually increased from 129 votes to 133!
Friday, June 03, 2005
Meanwhile, in CANADA, the Government recently survived a vote of confidence and is determined to enact marriage for same-sex couples nationwide before the end of the month.
Thursday, June 02, 2005
UPDATE: The Compassionate Choices Act (AB 654) was catapulted into the more liberal State Senate through a legislative maneuver called a "gut and amend" which bypasses tomorrow's June 3 crossover deadline which AB 19 still faces. It's not immediately clear to me why Speaker Fabian Nunez and other Democratic Asembly leaders (who are co-sponsors) of Leno's marriage bill don't try the same maneuver to keep the marriage bill alive. Perhaps one can not do this to a bill once it has had a floor vote in one house?