The Mad Professah had an amazing 90% accuracy in predicting the Oscar nominations in the Big Eight categories of Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay and Adapted Screenplay. That is 35 (or 36) out of 40. The only things I had wrong were 1) Munich's Best Picture nomination, William Hurt's Supporting nomination for A History of Violence; 2) Amy Adams Supporting nomination for Junebug (come on now, has anyone actually seen this movie or did she beat out Maria Bello on buzz alone??); 3) In Screenplay I didn't realize Syriana was original--the movie says it is based upon material from the book See No Evil by former CIA operative Robert Baer. So, I did predict Syriana would be nominated, but I had the wrong category! 4) I thought the Academy would throw a bone to Cinderella Man over A History of Violence, Happily I was wrong. But only four times out of forty nominations :-).
Prediction: Brokeback Mountain (10), Walk The Line(8), Capote(7), Crash(7), Good Night, and Good Luck. (6).
ACTUAL: Brokeback Mountain (8), Crash(6), Good Night, and Good Luck. (6)Walk The Line(5), Capote(5) .
BEST PICTURE
• Brokeback Mountain
• Crash
• Good Night, and Good Luck.
• The Constant Gardener
•
BEST DIRECTOR
• Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain
• Bennett Miller - Capote
• Paul Haggis - Crash
• George Clooney - Good Night, and Good Luck.
• Steven Spielberg - Munich
BEST ACTOR
• Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
• Terence Howard - Hustle & Flow
• Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain
• Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line
• David Strathairn - Good Night, and Good Luck.
BEST ACTRESS
• Judi Dench - Mrs. Henderson Presents
• Felicity Huffman - Transamerica
• Keira Knightley - Pride and Prejudice
• Charlize Theron - North Country
• Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
• George Clooney - Syriana
• Matt Dillon - Crash
• Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man
• Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain
•
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
•
• Catherine Keener - Capote
• Frances McDormand - North Country
• Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener
• Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
• Brokeback Mountain
• Capote
• The Constant Gardener
• Munich
•
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
•
• Crash
• Good Night, and Good Luck.
• Match Point
• The Squid and the Whale
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