Here is the Ekos poll:
Here is the Forum research poll:
May 1, 2011 National Federal Vote Intention (committed voters only) 34.8% Conservative Party of Canada 32.4% New Democratic Party 20.4% Liberal Party of Canada 5.7% Bloc Québécois 5.6% Green Party of Canada n=2,988
However, as social democrat notes at DailyKos.com, this does not mean that NDP will end the election with enough seats to lead the next Canadian government, due to the vagaries of the first-past-the-post parliamentary system.
May 1, 2011 National Federal Vote Intention 35% Conservative Party of Canada 33% New Democratic Party 19% Liberal Party of Canada
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