Multiple Polls Show NY Support for Marriage

Hat/tip to Latino blogger Blabbeando who posted the above graphic (courtesy of "poll maven" Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com) and analyzed two recent polls showing mjority support for marriage equality in New York state.

A Siena poll of 624 registered voters found that 53% of those polled supported Governor David Paterson's push for a marriage equality bill, while 39% opposed it.

A SurveyUSA poll of 500 registered voters sponsored by WABC-TV had a 49% to 44% margin of support.

[...]

Note to Reverend Ruben Diaz, Sr. and Luis Tellez: Among registered voters in both polls, Latinos in New York State support marriage equality by an overwhelming margin.

The Siena poll puts Latino support at 57% to 31% (a difference of 26 percentage points) while the SurveyUSA poll puts it at 53% to 38% (a difference of 15 percentage points).

I am struck not only by the fact that in both polls Latino support for the bill is not only higher than that of whites but that the negative numbers are so low.

I am heartened for my New York brothers and sisters that there is such supportive polling for marriage equality (and even happier that the Empire State does not have California's insane initiative process). I am also e

As I have said before, what is striking about these numbers is not the Black-white disparity in those who oppose marriage equality, it is the disparity between Republicans and Democrats.

However, I would note that this data should further put a nail in the coffin of the zombie meme that Blacks overwhelmingly oppose marriage equality. The average numbers in the latest polling data are 54 percent oppose, 39 percent in favor which is in line with more accurate analyses of Black public opinion (in the wake of California's Proposition 8) on this question has shown.

According to the numbers an average of 62 percent of Republican oppose marriage equality while a mere 58 percent of Democrats support it, barely different from Independents.

Also striking (as many people have pointed out previously) is the age disparity between those who oppose and support marriage equality. In this recent data, an average of 63 percent of those aged 18-34 support equal marriage rights (while only 29 percent oppose).

Now that is overwhelming support for equality and a harbinger of future gains.