Sunday, February 10, 2013

2013 Oscars: My Predictions

Here are my current predictions for the 2013 Oscars, which will be given out exactly two weeks from today. I think that in the end the Academy will vote for Best Picture the movie they enjoyed the most sitting through, which is Argo and not the movie they have been bludgeoned into thinking should be the best picture, i.e. Lincoln. The real question is since they can not vote for Affleck for Director, will they give it to a previous winner (like Steven Spielberg or Ang Lee), or will they try to anoint someone new who has been creating deserving work for years, like David O. Russell or Michael Haneke?

The toughest categories in the big 8 are Best Director, Best Supporting Actor, Best Adapted Screenplay. And they are all basically related.

Best Picture
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Best Director
SHOULD WIN: David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
WILL WIN: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

Best Actress
SHOULD WIN: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
WILL WIN: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Best Actor
  • Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
  • Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
  • Denzel Washington, Flight
  • Hugh Jackman, Les Misérables
  • Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
SHOULD WIN: Daniel Day-LewisLincoln
WILL WIN: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

Best Supporting Actress
SHOULD WIN: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
WILL WIN: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Best Supporting Actor
SHOULD WIN: Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
WILL WIN:  Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook

Best Original Screenplay
SHOULD WIN: Django UnchainedQuentin Tarantino
WILL WIN:  Moonrise Kingdom, Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola

Best Adapted Screenplay
SHOULD WIN: Life of Pi, David Magee
WILL WIN: Lincoln, Tony Kushner or ArgoChris Terrio

Oscar Totals: 
Lincoln (6) followed by Argo (4) and  Life of Pi (4)

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