Saturday, April 24, 2021

2021 OSCARS: My Predictions in the Top 8 Categories

Here is my annual prediction post for the 2021 Oscars, i.e. the 93nd Academy Awards. I really just consider the Top 8 categories on the blog but I often play the Oscar prediction game like lots of other people (on other websites) where I think about all 24 categories.  In 2019 I predicted 4 of 8 categories correctly and in 2020 I predicted 6 of 8 correctly.  This year I have seen all of the Best Picture nominees.

Best Picture:
  • “The Father” 
  • “Judas and the Black Messiah”
  • "Mank"
  • “Minari” 
  • “Nomadland” 
  • “Promising Young Woman” 
  • “Sound of Metal” 
  • “The Trial of the Chicago 7”
WILL WIN: Nomadland.

  • Thomas Vinterberg (“Another Round”)
  • David Fincher (“Mank”)
  • Lee Isaac Chung (“Minari”)
  • Chloé Zhao (“Nomadland”)
  • Emerald Fennell (“Promising Young Woman”)
SHOULD WIN: David Fincher, Mank.
WILL WIN: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland.

Lead Actor:
  • Riz Ahmed (“Sound of Metal”)
  • Chadwick Boseman (“Ma Rainey's Black Bottom”)
  • Anthony Hopkins (“The Father")
  • Gary Oldman (“Mank”)
  • Steven Yeun  (“Minari”)
SHOULD WIN: Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal.
WILL WIN: Chadwick  Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.

Lead Actress:
  • Viola Davis (“Ma Rainey's Black Bottom”)
  • Andra Day (“The United States v. Billie Holiday”)
  • Vanessa Kirby (“Pieces of a Woman”)
  • Frances McDormand  (“Nomadland”)
  • Carey Mulligan (“Promising Young Woman”)
SHOULD WIN: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.
WILL WIN: Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman.

Supporting Actor:
  • Sacha Baron Cohen (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”)
  • Daniel Kaluuya (“Judas and the Black Messiah”)
  • Leslie Odom Jr. (“One Night in Miami”)
  • Paul Raci (“Sound of Metal”)
  • Lakeith Stanfield  (“Judas and the Black Messiah”)
SHOULD WIN: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah.
WILL WIN: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah.

Supporting Actress:
  • Maria Bakalova (“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”)
  • Glenn Close (“Hillbilly Elegy”)
  • Olivia Colman (“The Father”)
  • Amanda Seyfried (“Mank”)
  • Yuh-jung Youn (“Minari”)
SHOULD WIN: Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy.
WILL WIN: Yuh-jung Youn, Minari.

Original Screenplay:
  • Will Berson and Shaka King (“Judas and the Black Messiah”)
  • Lee Isaac Chung (“Minari”)
  • Emerald Fennell (“Promising Young Woman”)
  • Darius Marder and Abraham Marder (“Sound of Metal”)
  • Aaron Sorkin (“The Trial of the Chicago 7)
WILL WIN: Promising Young Woman.

Adapted Screenplay:
  • Sacha Baron Cohen et alia (“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”)
  • Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller (“The Father”)
  • Chloe Zhao (“Nomadland”)
  • Kemp Powers (“One Night in Miami”)
  • Ramin Bahrani (“The White Tiger”)
SHOULD WIN: The Father.
WILL WIN: Nomadland.

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