|Stan Wawrinka  (SUI) vs. Novak Djokovic  (SRB)|
Last year I incorrectly predicted that Djokovic would defeat Rafael Nadal in the final. This year I have correctly predicted 1 of 2 women's semifinals, 4 of 4 women's quarterfinals, 3 of 4 men's quarterfinals and 1 of 2 men's semifinals. I also correctly predicted Serena Williams would defeat Lucie Safarova in the women's final this year. Below are my thoughts about this year's men's semifinals and final.
Men's Semifinals Review
Novak Djokovic  d. Andy Murray  6-3 6-3 5-7 5-7 6-1. Surprisingly, this semifinal ended up being the more dramatic of the two played in this round. Following his straight sets dismissal of his primary obstacle to winning the career slam, I suspected this match against Murray would be more complicated than others expected but no one expected a 5-set marathon over two days. Djokovic has been dominating Murray recently, having won the last 7 matches they played, including 10 of the last 11. Murray is brimming with newfound confidence and was undefeated on clay, which also happens to be every match he has played as a married man. Djokovic easily went up 2 sets to love and had opportunities to seal Murray's fate in the third but he let him escape and the weather caused the match to be halted at 3-all in the fourth. When they resumed play the next day Murray snuck out the fourth as well with one break. However, then Djokovic re-asserted himself to easily win the final set and reach his
Men's Final Preview
Although Novak Djokovic leads his head-to-head with Stan Wawrinka 17-3 the Swiss player has more than a 15% chance of winning this match. It's probably twice (but not three times) that amount. But it is definitely not above 50%. No doubt about it, this is Djokovic's title to lose, which everyone has been saying all year long. The Serbian 28 year old is playing some of the best tennis of his entire career and is currently enjoying a 28-match winning streak. He has won every single important tournament that he played in this year and there's no reason to expect the French Open will be any different.
Wawrinka is quite talented, and definitely has the game that can beat Djokovic (5 of their 6 five-set matches have gone the distance) and he is a former boys' champion at Roland Garros so he knows how to play on clay.
So far in this year's tournament through 6 rounds they have played an equal number of sets (20, winning 18) and Djokovic has 93 more winners than errors while Wawrinka has less than half that margin (43 more winners than errors). This is just one of the many reasons I think Djokovic will win this match, and complete the career slam, becoming the 9th man in history to do so, and the third i this golden era of men's tennis, following Federer and Nadal.
MadProfessah's pick: Djokovic.